A partial equilibrium analysis of mexican mango exports to the United States

Authors

  • Daniel Hernández Soto Tecnológico Nacional de México en Celaya. Campus II
  • Franciso Javier López Chanez Tecnológico Nacional de México en Celaya. Campus II
  • Alicia Casique Guerrero Tecnológico Nacional de México en Celaya. Campus II

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22231/asyd.v17i1.1327

Keywords:

international trade; partial equilibrium; exports; imports; mango

Abstract

Mexico is the main exporter of mango to the United States. However, between 1991 and 2016 it lost participation of this market, primarily due to exports from Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. To analyze the situation, the market of Mexican mango exports to the United States was represented in an econometric model and based on the estimation of the demand price flexibility, a partial equilibrium analysis of two economies was carried out, between Mexico and the United States with simulation of an increase of 20 percent in the amount exported. Facing a positive balance in the total income, it was determined that this increase is economically viable. With the simulated scenario and a B/C R higher than 1 calculated for producers from Michoacán and Sinaloa, it was determined that facing an increase of 20% in the amount exported, mango production destined to the United States continues to be profitable. Concerning Nayarit, the B/C R estimated is lower than 1; that is, it would not be profitable to produce mango for exports to the North American market.

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Published

2020-06-09

How to Cite

Hernández Soto, D., López Chanez, F. J., & Casique Guerrero, A. (2020). A partial equilibrium analysis of mexican mango exports to the United States. Agricultura, Sociedad Y Desarrollo, 17(1), 171–199. https://doi.org/10.22231/asyd.v17i1.1327