A partial equilibrium analysis of mexican mango exports to the United States
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22231/asyd.v17i1.1327Keywords:
international trade; partial equilibrium; exports; imports; mangoAbstract
Mexico is the main exporter of mango to the United States. However, between 1991 and 2016 it lost participation of this market, primarily due to exports from Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. To analyze the situation, the market of Mexican mango exports to the United States was represented in an econometric model and based on the estimation of the demand price flexibility, a partial equilibrium analysis of two economies was carried out, between Mexico and the United States with simulation of an increase of 20 percent in the amount exported. Facing a positive balance in the total income, it was determined that this increase is economically viable. With the simulated scenario and a B/C R higher than 1 calculated for producers from Michoacán and Sinaloa, it was determined that facing an increase of 20% in the amount exported, mango production destined to the United States continues to be profitable. Concerning Nayarit, the B/C R estimated is lower than 1; that is, it would not be profitable to produce mango for exports to the North American market.
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