Mortality due to modern diseases as a function of consumption of ultra-processed products: the case of Mexico.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22231/asyd.v20i2.1481Keywords:
ultra-processed foods, first-order differential equations, non-transmissible chronic diseases, obesity, public healtAbstract
Modern diseases occupy the first places as cause of death in Mexico due to changes in the food consumption habits and lifestyles of the population. This study measures and projects the impact of per capita consumption of ultra-processed products on mortality from modern illnesses such as diabetes, cancer, and heart disease through first-order differential equations. It is estimated that by 2030, with data from 1960-2014 for a population of 135 million inhabitants, the per capita consumption of ultra-processed products will be 295 kg and the mortality from modern diseases will be 363 people for every 100 thousand inhabitants. With data from 2000-2014, the per capita consumption of ultra-processed products will be 300 kg and the mortality 421 people. The impact on the mortality rate in Mexico by 2030 from consuming ultra-processed products will continue rising if the per capita consumption of these products is not intervened to prevent these diseases.
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